Jim Mowrer

Ratings Change: 5 House Races Shift Toward Democrats
But Democrats are still waiting for wave required to win majority

The good news for Republicans is that the bottom hasn’t fallen out from underneath their down-ballot candidates. The bad news is that there are still nearly three weeks left before Election Day, and 24 hours in each day for Donald Trump to torpedo the party’s chances of holding the House.

District-level polling after the release of the 2005 “Access Hollywood” video and the second debate between Trump and Hillary Clinton showed some vulnerability for Republicans, particularly in suburban districts. But we didn’t see a widespread cratering of GOP candidates in the competitive districts or evidence that the number of competitive seats is increasing dramatically.

Democrats Set to Take on Vulnerable Iowa Republicans
Monica Vernon and Jim Mowrer Win Democratic House nods

Monica Vernon won the Democratic nod in Iowa's 1st District and will face off against GOP Rep. Rod Blum. (Al Drago/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Democrats need to win two competitive seats in Iowa to hope to make a dent in their 30-seat deficit in the House.   

And they now have their candidates. In Iowa's 1st District, Monica Vernon will face off against freshman GOP Rep. Rod Blum in November.   

First GOP Incumbent to Fall on Busy Primary Day
One of North Carolina's Republican members will lose on Tuesday

Rep. Renee Ellmers, R-N.C., left, arrives for a House Republican Conference meeting in October. (Photo By Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)

Tuesday will be a busy day for congressional candidates, with primaries in four states.  

No matter what, the first GOP incumbent of the year will lose.  

Democrats in Must-Win Iowa Seat Locked in Tight Primary
The winner of the June 7 contest will face GOP freshman Rep. David Young

Iowa Rep. David Young faces a tough re-election fight in the state's 3rd District. (Bill Clark/Roll Call File Photo)

Democrats have two competitive candidates in Iowa's 3rd district — a seat the party needs to win to make gains in the House this year — and competing polls released from both candidates Thursday show the race remains tight.   

Iraq War veteran Jim Mowrer leads businessman Mike Sherzan 36 to 35 percent in a Mowrer internal poll, well within the poll's margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percent. Gerstein Bocian Agne Strategies surveyed 400 likely voters between May 24-25.  

Democrats Courting 'Gold Standard' to Unseat Young in Iowa (Updated)

Democrats want to wait for the strongest candidate to challenge Young. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photos)

Updated Aug. 17, 11:11 a.m. |  Democrats are getting a candidate in Iowa's only tossup congressional election — just not the one they're ready for.  

Iraq War veteran Jim Mowrer announced Monday he's challenging freshman Rep. David Young in the 3rd District.