Race ratings

Koch Brothers-Backed Ad Hits Strickland With Clinton
Clinton's stance on coal mining an issue in Ohio Senate race

Screen Shot (Freedom Partners Action Fund)

A new ad from the Freedom Partners Action Fund, backed by the billionaire brothers Charles and David Koch, hits Ohio Democratic Senate candidate Ted Strickland with remarks his party's presidential nominee made about coal mining.

The ad opens with a coal miner, identified as Josh W. from Cadiz, Ohio, at work with other miners.

Ratings Change: 7 States Shift Toward Clinton in Electoral College
Democrat projected to win 332 electoral votes — she needs 270 to win

Donald Trump appears to be drowning in the wake of the conventions.

Trump Losing Ground in Kansas
State has not voted for a Democrat since Lyndon Johnson

Sen. Jerry Moran has a comfortable lead in his Senate race despite Donald Trump's falling poll numbers in Kansas. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Kansas is the latest traditionally Republican state where the party's presidential nominee Donald Trump has lost ground.

According to a poll conducted for KSN-TV, Trump would get 44 percent of the vote compared to 39 percent for Hillary Clinton. That's 3 points down from what Trump received in KSN's July poll and Clinton was up 3 points.

House Members Send Mail on Taxpayer’s Dime, Vulnerable Ones Do It Much More
Members in competitive districts spend nearly three times more on constituent communications than safe members

Rep. Frank C. Guinta, R-N.H., is one of four top spenders on so-called franked mail. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Members of Congress can, at no cost to their re-election campaigns, send mail or advertisements to constituents in their districts — and vulnerable House members are disproportionately taking advantage of it.

Legislators running for re-election in non-safe districts are spending almost three times as much on taxpayer-funded mail, on average, as those running in safe districts, according to a Roll Call analysis of spending data from the House and Sunlight Foundation.

Chart: How the Senate Race Ratings Have Changed Since Early 2015
34 seats are up for election this 2016 cycle

Ratings shift since 2015.

As Roll Call's Alex Roarty reported on Wednesday , new candidates and disappointing nominees have changed expectations for 2016 Senate races since the start of the election season.  

No races have seen bigger shifts than the ones in Indiana and Florida, where the return of political stars Evan Bayh and Marco Rubio have turned each election on its head.    

This Nevada Primary Candidate Spent $62 Per Vote
Catherine Cortez Masto's campaign says this will pay off in November

Former Nevada Attorney General Catherine Cortez Masto spent about $62 per vote in winning her Democratic Senate primary in June. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)

If money can buy votes, there’s certainly some difference in market value.  

Senate primary candidates from the two major parties have spent as much as $62 and as low as 3 cents per vote received, according to a Roll Call analysis of Federal Election Commission disbursement filings for the primaries that have taken place to date. The three candidates who spent the most per votes all competed in the Nevada Senate race to replace Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid, which is rated a Tossup by The Rothenberg & Gonzales Political Report /Roll Call.  

Ratings Change: 3 House Races Move Out of Safe
Seats in Florida, Indiana, Minnesota becoming more competitive

Rep. Erik Paulsen, R-Minnesota, still has the advantage, but his race is getting tighter. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

On the eve of the conventions, with Republicans poised to nominate reality show celebrity Donald Trump as their presidential nominee, we’re still waiting for the bottom to drop out of the election for the GOP and jeopardize dozens of House seats.

Thus far, the universe of House battleground districts has been fairly static. Democrats claim they are adding seats to the competitive map, but many of those are districts they haven’t contested in years and finally have a warm body to run in.

Ron Johnson Breaks With Trump on Muslim Ban
Vulnerable GOP senator says outreach is the best way to counter terrorism

Wisconsin Sen. Ron Johnson disagrees with presumptive Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump's renewed call to ban foreign Muslims from entering the U.S. in the wake of the Orlando nightclub shooting. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Sen. Ron Johnson on Monday criticized Donald Trump's call for a temporary ban on foreign Muslims entering the United States.  

In a radio interview , the Wisconsin Republican, who is in a tough re-election battle against former Sen. Russ Feingold whom he unseated in 2010, said there was a difference between Islamic terror groups and Muslims in general, the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reported.  

What We Learned From Tuesday's Vote
Rubio's campaign stunned by angry wave, yet Trump competition still standing

Rubio gets hugs from his family after announcing that he was suspending his campaign following a humbling loss in his home state of Florida. (Angel Valentin/Getty Images)

This was the day that could make or break several presidential campaigns for Democrats and Republicans. Tuesday's primaries ended Marco Rubio's 2016 presidential dream and provided Hillary Clinton a win in Ohio and perhaps an unstoppable path to a nomination. And when does Donald Trump keep his promise to be more "presidential"? Now the campaigns review, adjust and move on.  

After a conference call with Rubio on Tuesday night, Jason Roe, a consultant for the Florida senator's campaign, said he could see Rubio running for president again. "The world is his oyster," Roe said. Despite polls showing Rubio trailing in his home state, Roe said he had been hopeful that as voters saw more of Trump's behavior, they'd back the senator. "But people are angry with an establishment they think has failed them. And Donald Trump is a big middle finger to that establishment," he said.  

Ratings Shift in Three Senate Races

McCain will probably never be safe from a primary challenge as long as he stays in the Senate (Bill Clark/Roll Call File Photo)

A year out from the 2016 elections, the playing field of competitive Senate races is still taking shape, with ratings changes in three contests.  

The new Rothenberg & Gonzales Political Report /Roll Call ratings are listed below — with more analysis is included in Friday’s edition of the Report.