12 Ratings Changes for House, Senate and Gubernatorial Races: 4 Toward GOP, 8 Toward Democrats

Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales — an authoritative look at where things stand for 2018

With so many close races in the ever-changing 2018 landscape, Roll Call elections analyst Nathan Gonzales has one big question: how long after Election Day will the nation have to wait before knowing which party will control Congress? Watch the video for Gonzales’ analysis, plus a debrief on a handful of ratings changes less than three weeks out, which are listed in full below.


  • New Jersey from Solid Democrat to Likely Democrat


  • Arizona’s 2nd District from Tilt D to Lean D
  • Illinois’s 14th from Solid Republican to Lean Republican
  • Michigan’s 11th from Toss-up to Tilt D
  • Nevada’s 4th from Likely D to Lean D
  • Ohio’s 12th from Tilt R to Toss-up
  • Texas’s 23rd from Tilt R to Lean R


  • Arizona from Lean R to Likely R
  • Illinois from Lean D to Likely D
  • Michigan from Tilt D to Lean D
  • Minnesota from Lean D to Likely D
  • South Dakota from Likely R to Lean R

Check out the Roll Call 2018 Election Guide for more on each race.