U.S. House, Florida - 8th District
Central -- most of Orlando
Race Forecast: Leans Democratic
Democrats and Republicans alike viewed Keller’s narrow primary win over attorney Todd Long Aug. 26 as a sign of the incumbent’s vulnerability. Democratic nominee Alan Grayson, an attorney, began receiving national support after the primary, though his personal wealth was likely to keep his campaign afloat until election day regardless of outside assistance. An influx of Hispanic residents has contributed to changing demographics in the 8th, which can no longer boast a Republican voter registration advantage.
Race Information
- Incumbent: Alan Grayson, D
- First Elected: 2008 (1st term)
- Last Elected: (%)
- Incumbent Status: Running for re-election
- Race Forecast: Leans Democratic
District Information
Politics in America District Profile
One of Florida’s few landlocked districts, the 8th is thriving nonetheless, powered by the presence of Walt Disney World, Sea World and Universal Studios’ resort in the Orlando area. The district surrounds western Orlando and includes upscale parts of the region, a large chunk of the city — including much of the downtown area — and the Walt Disney World complex. It then pushes north to take in parts of Lake and Marion counties, giving it a rural element.
The Orlando economy is booming and boasts a very low unemployment rate. While tourism is still the 8th’s undisputed leader — the Orlando area is the world’s top vacation destination and receives around 50 million visitors each year — the district’s economy is diverse and increasingly relies on a growing technology sector headed by Oracle and defense and aerospace contractor Lockheed Martin. The research park of the University of Central Florida’s Institute for Simulation and Training is an economic engine for the area. While the economic growth and redevelopment of downtown Orlando has brought new office parks and upscale condominiums to the city, housing prices have skyrocketed and affordable housing for workers in the tourism industry is scarce.
Residents of Orlando’s suburbs — from middle-class areas near the city to well-heeled Winter Park and Windermere — support conservative Republicans on social and economic issues. The population here is younger, wealthier and more educated than in most Florida districts. Republicans mostly prevail in Orange County elections, but the county’s surging Hispanic population has put Orange within political reach of Democratic statewide candidates. Many Orlando-area Hispanics are of Puerto Rican heritage and vote Democratic. Al Gore in 2000 was the first Democratic presidential nominee to carry Orange County since Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1944, and John Kerry captured the county in 2004.
Major Industry
Tourism, technology, aerospace
Cities
Orlando (pt.), 123,842; Ocoee (pt.), 23,591; Ocala (pt.), 16,384; Eustis, 15,106
Notable
Dozens of celebrities — including golf’s Tiger Woods and basketball’s Shaquille O’Neal — have homes at Isleworth in Windermere; There are more than 100 lakes in the Orlando metropolitan area.
- Demographics (2000 census)
- Population: 639,295
- Under 18: 23%
- Over 65: 14%
- Married: 54.2%
- Non-Hispanic White: 70%
- Black: 7%
- Hispanic: 18%
- Asian: 3%
- Foreign Born: 12.0%
- Language other than English: 22.7%
- Median Household Income: 41,568
- Owner Occupied Housing: 66%
- Income above $200k: 2.3
- Workforce/Education (2000 census)
- White Collar: 63.6%
- Blue Collar: 19.7%
- Services: 16.8%
- Bachelor's Degree: 26%
- Graduate Education: 7.9%
- Civilian Veterans: 73,252
| Year | Election | Candidate | Votes | Percent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | general | Alan Grayson (D) | 172,854 | 52% |
| Ric Keller (R) | 159,490 | 48% | ||
| 2006 | general | Ric Keller (R) | 95,258 | 52.8% |
| Charlie Stuart (D) | 82,526 | 45.7% | ||
| Wes Hoaglund (X) | 2,640 | 1.5% | ||
| 2004 | general | Ric Keller (R) | 172,232 | 60.5% |
| Stephen Murray (D) | 112,343 | 39.5% | ||
| 2002 | general | Ric Keller (R) | 123,497 | 65.1% |
| Eddie Diaz (D) | 66,099 | 34.9% | ||
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Independent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | John Kerry: 44% | George W. Bush: 55% | |
| 2000 | Al Gore: 45% | George W. Bush: 53% |
Campaign Finance Details for the 2008 Race
| Filers | Through | Total Receipts | Total Disbursements | Total From PACs | Total From Individuals | Ending Cash | Debts Owed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN, QUOC BA (D) | September 30, 2008 | $14,756.00 | $12,304.00 | $2,088.00 | $192.00 | $1,000.00 | |
| STUART, CHARLES (D) | September 30, 2008 | $708,961.00 | $638,304.00 | $2,500.00 | $632,865.00 | $106,346.00 | $101,050.00 |
| KROEHLER, CORBETT M (D) | August 28, 2008 | $59,544.00 | $59,496.00 | $5,426.00 | $162.00 | $53,511.00 | |
| GRAYSON, ALAN MARK (D) | November 24, 2008 | $2,823,165.00 | $2,794,250.00 | $17,000.00 | $201,632.00 | $2,633,781.00 | |
| LONG, WILLIAM TODD (R) | September 30, 2008 | $300,725.00 | $352,793.00 | $112,129.00 | |||
| MURRAY, STEPHEN THOMAS (D) | April 1, 2006 | ||||||
| HARTAGE, HOMER L (D) | September 30, 2008 | $333.00 | $7,100.00 | ||||
| KELLER, RICHARD A. (R) | November 24, 2008 | $1,619,253.00 | $1,766,076.00 | $151,172.00 | $657,996.00 | $12,770.00 | |
| HILL, CLAY OLIVER (I) | November 7, 2006 | ||||||
| SMITH, MICHAEL JAMES (D) | September 30, 2008 | $584,132.00 | $582,572.00 | $548,541.00 | $1,558.00 | ||
| HERING, ROBERT (BOB) NELSON JR (R) | September 30, 2008 | $74,709.00 | $69,613.00 | $54,484.00 | $5,094.00 | $15,000.00 | |
| FRY, JAMES ALEXANDER (D) | October 1, 2008 | $25,016.00 | $25,016.00 | $5,080.00 | |||
| LEWIS, GREG (R) | June 30, 2008 | $4,799.00 | $4,799.00 | $4,799.00 | |||






