CQ TODAY ONLINE NEWS
April 30, 2008 – 2:18 a.m.
Analysis: Better the No. 2 Spot...or Going Back to the Hill?
By Jonathan Allen, CQ Staff
The vice presidency, it was once said by Vice President John Nance Garner, “isn’t worth a warm bucket of spit.”
Still, almost any lawmaker would drool over the chance to move down Pennsylvania Avenue to the land of massive staffs, extravagant foreign trips, daily chopper rides, state dinners, and cautiously guarded fantasies of presidential incapacity.
Supporters of the rivals for the Democratic presidential nomination like to posit that the job is beneath either frontrunner Barack Obama , the junior senator from Illinois, or New York Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton . Why would she (or he, when appropriate) settle for No. 2?
Some have gone so far as to suggest that Clinton would be best off going back to the Senate to become majority leader (assuming Harry Reid would step aside and that she could win the job among an electorate of Senate Democrats who have favored Obama in the presidential race by a 14-13 count, with a little less than half undecided).
That camp includes the godfather of modern political reporting, the Washington Post’s David S. Broder, who wrote that the majority leader’s job has ”real power” -- an unconvincing statement given that the most powerful and power-conscious majority leader in the 20th century, Lyndon Johnson, gave it up to run for vice president.
There are many arguments for and against a Democratic “dream” ticket -- most of them specious, presumptuous or both. The truth is, no one will ever know if Obama and Clinton (or Clinton and Obama) are the strongest ticket Democrats can put forth, the weakest or somewhere in between.
But two things are very clear:
• The more Clinton and Obama alienate each other’s constituencies, the harder it will be for the winner to unite the Democratic Party and win not only the presidency but make big congressional gains.
• The easiest way to end a bitter nomination battle in which neither candidate has any real incentive to give up is to broker a deal between the candidates that finds room for both of them on the ticket.
That’s not to say that the second spot on the ticket should, or will, be offered to the second-place finisher. Nor does it mean such an offer should be accepted.
But for all the knocks on the vice presidency, history suggests it is more enticing than remaining in Congress. The list of lawmakers who ran for vice president is long and includes Charles W. Fairbanks, James Sherman, Senate Majority Leader Charles Curtis, House Speaker Garner, Harry Truman, Senate Minority Leader Alben Barkley, Senate Majority Leader Johnson, Richard M. Nixon, Senate Majority Whip Hubert Humphrey, Walter Mondale, Dan Quayle and Al Gore -- and that’s just from the tickets that won in the 20th century.
Some of them hated it, but for others it turned out to be a good deal. The job helped prepare Truman, Johnson and Nixon for the presidency, not to mention Gerald R. Ford, who didn’t run for vice president but succeeded Spiro Agnew in the job and ascended to the presidency when Nixon resigned.
Indeed, one heartbeat -- or scandal -- from the presidency seems like a much better position than a seat far from the gavel at a subcommittee hearing on occupational safety. And the downside of running for vice president and losing -- a return trip to the Senate -- is the same as the downside of not joining the ticket at all.
Analysis: Better the No. 2 Spot...or Going Back to the Hill?
Because they fear that the contentious primary could severely alienate voters in either camp, Democrats across the spectrum are now saying that the person most important to Democratic success -- or failure -- in the fall will be the one who comes in second. Often times, that person is called a running mate.
If party leaders determine that the “dream” ticket is their best chance, there will be tremendous pressure on the winner to offer a spot on the ticket to the loser and for the loser to accept.
The politician who declines to run in the second spot risks a massive party backlash if the ticket loses. On the other hand, the politician who turns his or her nose up at the vice presidency would be severely marginalized if his or her party wins the White House.
In addition to believing that the vice presidency is beneath either Obama, Clinton or both, some Democrats say privately that they fear the country is not ready to elect a ticket consisting of an African American and a woman, that breaking both barriers at once is too much for the American people to swallow.
Then again, the Democrats have long embraced “hope” as a mantra — “the hope still lives,”“keep hope alive,” the “politics of hope” — and that may be a factor that weighs in the opposite side of the argument.




Comments
A good article, except for a major error in the opening paragraph. Garner said the Vice Presidency was "not worth a bucket of warm piss." Get your bodily fluids straight ;) /Grim
Obama is unelectable as a president and will lose to McCain. Only Hillary can win and take on the Republicans. Obama should firstly make a deal with the Democrats and Hillary to become vice- president and in 2012 he would ultimately win for the Democrats. Go Hillary!!!
Grim, I have no objection to your correction. That said, Garner has so often been quoted with the sanitized version of his comment that I thought it was appropriate in this Web space to repeat the family-friendly observation. I hope readers won't question the validity of the rest of the piece based on the fluid exchange.
still agree with Anton Go Hillary
Clinton supporters like Anton never cease to amaze me. They say Obama cannot beat McCain, only Clinton can. They conveniently forget an unknown Senator from Illinois, barely out of the state senate took on the biggest name and political machine in Democratic politics - the person who was expected to be the next President, let alone the next nominee and he has beaten her. With all Clinton had going for her, if she cannot beat a new guy like Barack Obama, how on earth can she beat an experienced guy like McCain. I detect a major disconnect here. For the record, I oppose Clinton as VP. We don't need two egotistical VPs (Bill and Hillary)
The party leadership as well as the House and Senate leadership are so inept that they leave me in awe, so it really doesn't matter what they think - Obama is the best puppet they can find to swing the behind the scenes power struggle and is naive enough, and arrogant enough not to know it. Hillary should not jump at the VP position, the blue collar vote is her's and she should take it with her to the Independent Party since her and her first "black" president(we can see how much loyalty that got him) husband are so unappreciated and peace, prosperity, jobs and security are not the watchwords anymore.
To all the BO supporters out there, the ineptitude of the leaderships, DNC, House, and Senate leaves me in awe. Hillary should not accept the VP position, the blue collar vote(which makes up most of middle America) is hers and she should take it with her to the Independent Party. Since peace, prosperity, jobs and security are not watchwords any more and since appreciation and compassion for the guy grinding out a living are in short shrift these days, she should wave bye-bye, we would all go with her.......
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