CQ TODAY ONLINE NEWS
– POLITICS
Aug. 26, 2008 – 5:22 p.m.
Dems Name Eight House Hopefuls to Showcase at Convention Today
By CQ Politics staff
The Democratic officials who head up the party’s national campaign for U.S. House seats today showcased 50 of their candidates for Republican-held seats during the second day of the Democratic National Convention in Denver — with eight of them singled out for special attention in a press release sent out this afternoon.
All of these candidates were presented during a convention segment, which was scheduled for 4 p.m. local time (6 p.m. eastern), with Maryland Rep. Chris Van Hollen , chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairman (DCCC), moderating.
The following are capsule descriptions of those eight highlighted candidates, from the staff of CQ Politics, which closely follows and handicaps all 435 House contests. CQ Politics’ ratings for all House contests, including the competitive races in the No Clear Favorite, Leans and Favored categories, can be found here.
• John H. Adler, New Jersey, 3rd District: Adler, a longtime state senator, actually was aiming to run for the Senate in the 2008 election year. But the decision by veteran Democratic Sen. Frank R. Lautenberg to run for re-election this year at age 84 — and the coincidental decision by longtime southern New Jersey Republican Rep. H. James Saxton to retire — prompted Adler to set his sights closer to home.
Chris Myers, the Republican nominee, has advantages in the district’s longstanding (though not overwhelming) Republican lean and the endorsement he drew early on from the popular Saxton. But Myers, the mayor of Medford, is recovering from a bruising June primary that sapped his funds while Adler, unopposed for the Democratic nomination, stockpiled a sizable campaign treasury. CQ Politics rating: No Clear Favorite
• Joe Garcia, Florida, 25th District: The Democrats have typically given virtual free passes to a pair of Republican brothers who represent parts of South Florida in Congress: Mario Diaz-Balart , who is in his third term in the 25th District, and Lincoln Diaz-Balart , who is in his eighth term in the 21st District. In doing so, the Democrats were essentially yielding to the Republican-voting tendencies of the Cuban-American constituency, of which the Diaz-Balarts are part, which stem from the GOP’s identification with antipathy toward Fidel Castro’s communist regime in Cuba.
But Democrats of late have sensed some softening in the Cuban community’s Republican ties — and are challenging both brothers Diaz-Balart with Cuban-American Democrats this year.
Mario Diaz-Balart faces a challenge from Joe Garcia, former chairman of the Miami-Dade County Democratic Party, who also is former executive director of the Cuban American National Foundation. But the Republican incumbent maintains an edge in a district that went 56 percent for President Bush in 2004. CQ Politics rating: Republican Favored
• Debbie Halvorson, Illinois, 11th District: Halvorson, the majority leader in the Illinois Senate, is pursuing the seat left open by retiring seven-term Rep. Jerry Weller . She was regarded as one of the Democrats’ top recruits for a Republican-held seat — even before the original Republican nominee, local official Tim Baldermann, dropped out of the race just weeks after his victory in the Feb. 5 primary.
The GOP, which generally holds an edge in this district south of Chicago, rebounded by nominating concrete company executive Martin Ozinga, who quickly cut into Halvorson’s big fundraising head start. But Halvorson’s high political profile, big treasury and possible coattails benefits from Illinois Sen. Barack Obama ’s campaign for president give her at least a slight edge. CQ Politics rating: Leans Democratic
• Christine Jennings, Florida, 13th District:
Despite a Republican lean in this Gulf Coast district, Democrat Christine Jennings is waging a strong rematch bid against freshman Republican Rep. Vern Buchanan . Jennings, a retired banker, attracted national attention in the aftermath of the 2006 open-seat race, when she charged her 369-vote certified margin of defeat was the result of voting machine errors.
Buchanan again is facing inquiries about his past business history such as those that hindered his campaign two years ago. But the wealthy auto dealer is once again one of the best-financed candidates this year. CQ Politics rating: Leans Republican
Dems Name Eight House Hopefuls to Showcase at Convention Today
• Ben Ray Lujan, New Mexico, 3rd District: Not all of the candidates are being showcased because they are in competitive races. Lujan and Colorado’s Jared Polis are rated as prohibitive favorites to win seats left by a pair of congressional cousins who are running this year for the Senate: Reps. Tom Udall of New Mexico and Mark Udall of Colorado.
Lujan, a state public regulation commissioner, benefits from a well-known name — his father is the state House Speaker — and from the strongly Democratic leanings of a northern New Mexico district that includes the state capital of Santa Fe. As of June 30, the most recent figures available, Lujan had raised $937,000 to just $62,000 by Republican nominee Dan East, a construction contractor. CQ Politics rating: Safe Democratic
• Ashwin Madia, Minnesota, 3rd District: Madia is a lawyer and Iraq War veteran who is running in a tossup race for the suburban Twin Cities seat that nine-term moderate Republican Rep. Jim Ramstad has left open to retire. He is opposed by Republican state Rep. Erik Paulsen.
Madia defeated a longtime state senator to win the nomination for the Democratic Party (known as the Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party in Minnesota). The general election contest will be a battle for the large centrist voting bloc in this swing district, with Democrats arguing that Paulsen is too conservative for the district and Republicans calling Madia too liberal.
While Madia will stand with Van Hollen at the Democratic convention, the Minnesota Democrats criticized Paulsen for his decision to speak at the Republican National Convention next week in the state capital of St. Paul. DFL spokesman Eric Fought said in a statement that Paulsen’s speech would be “music to the ears of the Republican political insiders who are descending on our state next week.” CQ Politics rating: No Clear Favorite.
• Raul Martinez, Florida, 21st District: Most observers view the challenge to Lincoln Diaz-Balart as even more competitive and threatening than the one faced by his brother in Florida 25. Some are referring to this race as a battle of titans in the region’s Cuban-American constituency.
Martinez, former Democratic mayor of Republican-leaning Hialeah, is aggressively challenging Diaz-Balart. Martinez has proven himself to be a strong fundraising, drawing from his base of support in the Miami-Dade area district. But here, too, the Democrat has to overcome a generic Republican advantage, in a district that gave 57 percent to Bush four years ago. CQ Politics rating: Leans Republican
• Jared Polis, Colorado, 2nd District: There are two groups that will be very pleased to see the convention spotlight on Polis, even though he appears virtually certain to win the November contest in a heavily Democratic district that includes the city of Boulder — liberal-leaning home of the University of Colorado flagship campus — and Denver suburbs.
One happy group is the delegation from the host state of Colorado, who will hail the latest local Democrat who appears on his way to Congress. He is running in a district that gave 58 percent of its votes to Democratic presidential nominee John Kerry in 2004 and 68 percent to Mark Udall in his final House race in 2006.
The other convention constituency that will cheer Polis most heartily is the party’s large number of gay delegates. Polis, a wealthy entrepreneur, is openly gay, a status currently shared by only two members of Congress: Democrats Barney Frank of Massachusetts and Tammy Baldwin of Wisconsin.
Polis faces general election competition from little-known Republican Scott Starin. CQ Politics rating: Safe Democratic
CQ Politics Editor Bob Benenson and reporters Greg Giroux, Marie Horrigan and Rachel Kapochunas




Comments
Adler entered the race a month before Saxton retired. Saxton's retirement was a reaction that not the other way around.
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