CQ TODAY ONLINE NEWS
Oct. 12, 2008 – 9:27 a.m.
Dems’ Dreams of Virginia House Seat Takeover Closer to Reality
By Greg Giroux, CQ Staff
VIRGINIA BEACH — The residents of Virginia’s most populous city are in the middle of a storm of political activity. John McCain and Sarah Palin will be here Monday to rally support for the Republican presidential ticket, which is struggling to keep Virginia in the GOP column against the surging Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden.
Virginia Beach is also the epicenter of a highly competitive House race. Republican Rep. Thelma Drake is opposed in her bid for a third term by Democrat Glenn Nye, who has worked in Iraq, Afghanistan and other global hot spots for the State Department and the U.S. Agency for International Development.
Drake was nearly defeated in 2006 — when the Democrats made a net gain of 30 House seats nationwide — by Democrat Phil Kellam, a politically experienced local officeholder in Virginia Beach. This year, Democrats are going in a different direction with Nye, who is seeking political office for the first time.
CQ Politics gives Drake the edge but foresees a close race, which is why we are changing the race rating to the more competitive Leans Republican from the mildly competitive Republican Favored.
Nye is seeking to overcome the historic Republican orientation of the 2nd District, which has a large military influence. Along with all of Virginia Beach, the district takes in part of Norfolk, a Democratic-leaning area adjacent to Virginia Beach that is the hometown of both candidates; part of Hampton, which is located on the southeastern end of the Virginia Peninsula; and the two counties that form Virginia’s Eastern Shore. About 70 percent of the vote comes out of Virginia Beach. President Bush took 58 percent of the district vote in the 2004 election, when Drake was first elected with 55 percent of the vote.
Though he’s a Democrat, Nye often plays down his party affiliation and emphasizes bipartisan-minded solutions to the nation’s problems.
“People are looking for results-driven, bipartisan leadership, which is why my candidacy resonates so well,” Nye said during a breakfast interview. “Focus on practical problem-solving and completely taking the emphasis off of party politics and party allegiances.”
From time to time, Nye invokes the name of Mark Warner, a popular former Virginia governor who is a shoo-in to win a Senate seat on Nov. 4, when he and Nye will be sharing a ballot. Warner worked with some members of a Republican-run legislature to close a budget gap in Virginia, and he still has strong approval ratings nearly three years after he left the governorship in January 2006.
Nye contrasts his style to what he says is excessive partisanship shown by Drake, whom he says votes too frequently with the positions of the Bush administration. According to CQ’s annual studies of congressional voting, Drake voted in agreement with the administration’s public position 89 percent of the time in 2005, 95 percent in 2006 and 79 percent in 2007. In 2008, that number dropped to 64 percent, one of the lowest of all House Republicans.
Voters in the 2nd District “want a representative who will stand up for the needs of the district, and not necessarily do what the president wants,” Nye said.
Drake’s campaign says she has been more politically independent than Nye indicates. Her campaign provided a list of votes this summer on which she opposed the Bush administration’s position, including some on housing and intelligence measures. Most notably, Drake opposed the financial market bailout proposal that Bush signed into law last week. Nye also opposed the measure.
Drake also voted against the initial version of that legislation, which the Bush administration also supported but the House rejected. Speaking with CQ Politics on Sept. 30, one day after the vote, Drake said the criticism that she’s a Bush rubber-stamp was unfounded: “Look at yesterday — I did not vote with George Bush yesterday. So that’s a bogus idea,” she said.
Drake also said she has emphasized bipartisanship in Congress and previously in the state House, where she served nearly nine years. “I’m the only one that has worked in a bipartisan manner, both in the Virginia General Assembly and in Washington, D.C.,” she said, noting her work to fashion a compromise on energy legislation as one example.
Dems’ Dreams of Virginia House Seat Takeover Closer to Reality
Both candidates say they support a comprehensive solution to the energy crisis, including an expansion of domestic oil drilling and ramped-up use of alternative energy sources. Drake’s campaign says Nye has flip-flopped on drilling, pointing to comments opposing drilling he made in May to a Virginia Beach Democratic blog, and accuses him of switching to adopt a position that aligns himself with a substantial majority of the voting public. Drake says that Nye’s shift on the issue raises questions about his credibility.
“And Glenn Nye? He told liberal bloggers he was opposed to offshore drilling for American oil. Now, with everyone watching, he’s running from his record,” a narrator says in a Drake television ad.
Nye said his earlier comments were taken out of context and that he supports domestic oil drilling as one part of a comprehensive energy strategy, and that he’s mindful of concerns the Navy has about drilling in some areas off the Virginia coast. “I’m focused on a pragmatic approach here. I want to solve the problem at hand,” he said.
The two candidates disagree over U.S. policy in Iraq. Drake has voted against timelines to withdraw U.S. troops from Iraq and supported a troop “surge” to quell violence in that nation. Nye said it’s time “to deliver a new strategy for victory.”
“I’m finding a lot of people in the military community that agree with me — that we need a new strategy in Iraq to get to victory faster, that forces the Iraqi government to take greater responsibility now and step up and do their part,” Nye said.
Drake has questioned just how much Nye is tied to the district. At a recent debate, Drake noted that Nye took a homestead exemption on a house in Washington, D.C., that he bought in 2005 with his brother.
“I don’t know what his real roots and real ties to the district are,” Drake said.
Nye says the D.C. house was his primary residence for about a year, until he left for Iraq in early 2007, when he switched his primary residence back to Virginia. His brother, who recently returned from Iraq, still uses the D.C. house as his primary residence, and D.C. law requires only one owner to live in the house to claim the homestead exemption.
“It was a reckless charge,” said Nye, whose campaign later sent out a fundraising e-mail under his brother’s name.
Drake and Nye are competing for attention with a presidential election in which both McCain and Obama are paying an enormous amount of attention to Virginia and its 13 electoral votes. Even if he loses narrowly statewide to Obama, McCain still is favored to prevail in the 2nd District, which usually votes about two or three percentage points more Republican than the state at-large.
“The environment is a lot better [than in 2006],” Drake said. “I think having John McCain at the top of the ticket is very helpful to me, because this district — they know John McCain , they know that he knows them and that he understands their issues.”
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC), the political arm of House Democrats, has included Nye among its roster of 55 “Red to Blue” candidates who are running competitive campaigns in Republican-held districts — an indication that the DCCC is financially committed to Nye’s campaign.
The DCCC began its advertising campaign this week in Virginia’s 2nd, airing a television spot that accuses Drake of supporting “Bush economics.”
Dems’ Dreams of Virginia House Seat Takeover Closer to Reality
The ad criticizes Drake for voting for a 2005 overhaul of energy laws that many Democrats, including Obama, also backed; supporting a 2006 budget bill that would have reduced mandatory spending by $39 billion over five years; and backing a bill in the current 110th Congress to make permanent the individual income tax rates for capital gains and dividends.
The National Republican Congressional Committee, the political arm of House Republicans that is supporting Drake, hasn’t yet spent campaign funds in Virginia’s 2nd District, though it has criticized Nye on oil drilling in some press statements.




Comments
Oh sure, Mr Nye is going to stand up to an Obama presidency! He'll vote with Nancy Pelosi 95% of the time. She always has a conversation with new members asking them if they like it here and they say yes, so they have to vote like she says. The new Democrats do not get to vote for their conservative districts. They vote as Pelosi says. When will people learn that politicians lie, especially conservative district Dems.
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