CQ TODAY ONLINE NEWS
Dec. 4, 2008 – 5:34 a.m.
Open Florida Senate Seat Draws Spotlight to Jeb Bush, Alex Sink
By Rachel Kapochunas, CQ Staff
Republican Sen. Mel Martinez on Tuesday made a very early announcement that he will not seek re-election in 2010. And the nascent open-seat race has drawn interest from numerous potential candidates in his home state of Florida, frequently a hotbed of partisan competition.
But maneuvering among many would-be contenders awaits word from two political stars — Republican Jeb Bush, the former governor, and Democrat Alex Sink, the state’s chief financial officer — who have unique potential to emerge as their parties’ strong front-runners.
Marco Rubio, a Republican who formerly served as state House Speaker, is in the top tier of possible GOP candidates for the open Senate seat. But he told CQ Politics Wednesday that he would defer to Bush, describing him as the best candidate for the job. “If he runs, I think all of us should get behind his efforts,” Rubio said. Rubio added he would consider running for Senate if Bush — who served the state limit of two terms as governor, from 1999 to 2007 — were to decide not to enter the race.
Connie Mack , just elected to his third term representing the 14th Congressional District in southwestern Florida, is another potential candidate who on Wednesday stated his support for Bush.
“Jeb Bush has a proven track record of leadership that would once again benefit the people of Florida, and indeed the entire nation. He would make an outstanding United States senator,” Mack said in a statement.
Democrats, meanwhile, touted Sink — whose office is analogous to treasurer in most states — as a potential Senate candidate even before Martinez announced he is stepping aside.
Democratic state Sen. Dave Aronberg, mentioned as a possible candidate, told CQ Politics Wednesday that entering the Senate race is “unlikely” for him and he has not given it “much thought.” He also revealed his support for Sink, noting her positioning as a Democratic moderate and the successful statewide campaign she ran in 2006, even as Charlie Crist was winning for governor at the top of the Republican ticket.
“Alex Sink would make a great U.S. senator, and I think if she runs she would win,” Aronberg said.
Despite her prominence in state politics, Sink would have a hard time matching the enviable statewide name recognition Bush would bring to a Senate race. Bush was first elected governor in 1998 — the same year that his brother, George W. Bush , was re-elected as governor of Texas, a prelude to his 2000 win for his first term as president. Jeb Bush was re-elected governor in 2002. And unlike the president, who saw his poll numbers plummet during his second term in the White House, Florida’s Bush enjoyed strong job approval ratings throughout his tenure as governor.
But there are some reasons to doubt whether Bush would jump into the Senate contest. Republicans in the state previously indicated they believed Bush held little interest in being a senator. Despite his personal popularity, he might have to deal with “Bush fatigue,” as George W. Bush ’s unpopularity contributed greatly to Democrat Barack Obama ’s presidential victories nationally and in Florida. The nation’s economic downturn might also cause some uncomfortable questions for the former Florida governor, as he was hired in August 2007 as an advisor to Lehman Brothers, the now-defunct Wall Street private equity firm.
When asked about a Bush candidacy, Republican Gov. Charlie Crist told reporters Wednesday, “We’ll see what develops. I imagine a lot of people will have interest. Time will tell. These things usually take a little while to sort of sort out. He’s a great Floridian.” Crist won the 2006 open-seat election to succeed Bush as governor.
Waiting in the Wings
There is no shortage of fall-back options for either party should Bush or Sink or both decide not to run for the Senate.
Open Florida Senate Seat Draws Spotlight to Jeb Bush, Alex Sink
Bill McCollum, the Republican state Attorney General, stated Tuesday he is considering a bid for Martinez’ seat, which would be his third run for Senate. After a 20-year U.S. House tenure that began with his election in 1980, McCollum in 2000 lost an open-seat race to Democrat Bill Nelson and lost the 2004 Republican Senate primary to Martinez. He rebounded to win his current prominent state office in 2006.
Allan Bense, another former state House Speaker, also is mentioned as a top potential Republican candidate. Bense was courted to run for the Senate in 2006 by some Republicans who believed — presciently, it turned out — that Republican Rep. Katherine Harris, the state’s top elections official during the chaotic 2000 Florida presidential vote count, was doomed to fail in her challenge to Democratic incumbent Nelson. Though Jeb Bush at that time championed Bense as a strong candidate, he ultimately demurred, saying he preferred to stick to state-level politics at the time.
Republican Rep. Vern Buchanan , who in November won a second term in the Sarasota-area 13th Congressional District, has not ruled out a Senate bid, spokeswoman Sally Tibbetts confirmed Wednesday. Tibbetts wrote in an e-mail message that the congressman is “flattered” by encouragement received from party and community leaders. “He is happy with the job he has now representing Florida’s 13th District, but he hasn’t ruled out running for Senate,” Tibbetts wrote.
Jeff Atwater, recently chosen by Republican colleagues as president of the state Senate, is often cited as a contender, but spokeswoman Jaryn Emhof said Atwater’s focus is completely on his state legislative duties at this time. “Other issues aren’t on the radar screen right now,” Emhof said Wednesday.
Other Democrats discussed as possible Senate candidates include Reps. Allen Boyd of the 2nd District in Florida’s Panhandle, Kendrick B. Meek of the Miami-area 17th District and Ron Klein , who represents the Palm Beach-area 22nd District. State Sen. Dan Gelber also is on the list.
Klein this year breezed to re-election after scoring a hard-fought victory in 2006 over veteran Republican Rep. E. Clay Shaw Jr. The former state senator built a reputation during those two campaigns as one of the top fundraisers among the nation’s congressional candidates. The latest available figures show Klein raised $3.8 million through Oct. 15, even though the Republicans did not recruit a strong candidate to oppose him.
One prominent member of the congressional delegation, Debbie Wasserman Schultz of the 20th District, is regarded as a rising star in the ranks of House Democrats, and spokesman Jonathan Beeton played down the possibility of her entering the Senate race, stating, “It is unlikely that she would seek the seat.”




Comments
"...analogous to treasurer..." In fact, the CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER post combines the powers and duties of treasurer, comptroller (or called "controller" in CA and other Western states), and insurance commissioner. Given such vast scope of the position, Sink would be far more wont to seek re-election or try to oust the current governor, rather than make the lateral (or downward!) move to becoming One of One-hundred (of One-Third).
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