CQ TODAY ONLINE NEWS
Corrected March 27, 2009 – 7:30 p.m.
Utah’s Election Process May Get a Workout in 2010 Senate Race
By Michael Teitelbaum, CQ Staff
In a state which has not voted for a Democrat for governor since 1980, a senator since 1970 and for president since 1964, Utah is arguably one of the most Republican states in the country.
With the exception of a token Democrat in Congress over the years, Republican races dominate the political landscape. The main theme with Republicans tends to be how many big names will run in the few election races available in a state that does not have much turnover.
So when the buzz began that three-term incumbent Sen. Robert F. Bennett might be challenged for his seat in the Republican convention by state Attorney General Mark Shurtleff, it reminded people of how unusual the state’s Republican Party election process is and how it is the ultimate system for party activists.
Shurtleff told CQ Politics Thursday that he is “definitely considering” running against Bennett in 2010 but will not decide until around May 1.
Shurtleff is a popular figure in Utah having been re-elected in 2008 for a third term with 69 percent.
There were some recent media reports which had him making a decision by the end of March but he said that he has a regularly scheduled state fundraiser in connection with Law Day on May 1 and he did not want to mix signals between the state and federal races.
He is thinking about running because “in a time of great crisis for our economy, it’s time for a change on how Congress spends money.”
Shurtleff blames both parties for the spending problem but notes that one of the consistencies over the years has been that Washington has had the same senators.
He said he has done substantial polling of both Republican delegates and primary voters and they have told him that the economy, the financial bailout package, the stimulus law and earmarks are “huge issues in the state.”
Under Utah’s unique system for culling candidate fields, balloting will be held at the Republican state convention in May 2010, with the last-place finisher on each ballot eliminated until there are two competitors left. If one candidate should receive 60 percent of the delegate votes on any ballot, he or she would be deemed nominated and there would be no primary contest. If that should not occur, a primary between the two finalist candidates would ensue with the top vote-getter being the primary winner.
Bennett has only been challenged once in a primary, in his initial run for the Senate in 1992 when he beat out Joe Cannon, brother of former congressman Chris Cannon (1997-2009), 51 percent to 49 percent.
He has received criticism from conservatives when he was seen as heavily involved in the process creating a $700 billion financial industry bailout fund last year. He also was a strong supporter of President George W. Bush even as the former president’s approval ratings took a hit. Conservatives became increasingly frustrated with Bush because of his deficit-creating budgets that Bennett voted for.
Shurtleff said that in his polling there are people who believe the bailout was “not only fiscally irresponsible but immoral.”
Bennett also voted for and got some criticism from activists on a 2007 immigration bill that would have overhauled U.S. immigration policies, provide for a temporary guest worker program and institute new border security measures.
Bennett noted that he has begun to “rehabilitate himself” with President Obama in office, saying he voted against automobile bailout package, the economic stimulus law, confirming Timothy F. Geithner as Treasury secretary — and that he would vote no on the upcoming budget resolution.
Paul Rolly, political columnist for the Salt Lake Tribune, said Bennett has “really become obvious in catering to the right wing part of the party.”
Utah politicians and activists are well aware of the “Chaffetz effect” named after challenger Jason Chaffetz , who defeated Cannon by taking a hard-line conservative approach to fiscal and social issues. He had a shoestring campaign made entirely of volunteers and raised substantially less than Cannon. His strategy was simple: meet and talk to the delegates that control the convention nomination process for congressional elections. He worked them over and they liked his message and the fact he wasn’t a Washington insider.
He nearly won the convention outright and with the momentum, he beat Cannon in the primary.
Quin Monson, political science professor at Brigham Young University and a former delegate, said he does not see the same groundswell of opposition for Bennett as there was for Cannon. “I don’t see the underlying dislike” but added that the convention “is the scariest thing and it is most unpredictable” because of the small number of delegates that decide a nominee. He said Bennett is going to win in a primary.
Monson said that there is always an anti-Washington sentiment in the party but right now it is not big enough to defeat Bennett. Monson acknowledged that Bennett is likely to face challengers. He added that while the convention is dominated by party activists who are very conservative, in a primary, there is a “lot bigger tent” of Republican voters.
Besides Shurtleff, there are other potential contenders such as David Leavitt, who ran against Cannon in 2008 and lost in the party convention and is the brother of former Gov. Michael O. Leavitt , and Mike Lee, a former general counsel to Gov. Jon Huntsman Jr.
To pump up his fundraising numbers, Bennett will be having a fundraiser next month with Mitt Romney, a former presidential candidate and who is popular in the state.
He says he will have about $500,000 in cash on hand at the end of the first quarter in 2009 which ends March 31. He says he has a full-campaign staff in place and has been spending money on his re-election.
Shurtleff, who has a history of being able to raise money, says he is confident that he can raise over $1 million by next March. He does have an estimated $72,000 in a state campaign account but he is prohibited from transferring it to a campaign for federal office.
Correction: Republican Chris Cannon represented Utah’s 3rd District from 1997 to 2009.
First posted March 26, 2009 7:09 p.m.
Correction
Corrects former Rep. Chris Cannon's years of service in the House.




POST A COMMENT
Oops! The following errors must be addressed: