CQ Politics

Race Ratings Chart: House

The CQ election coverage team sets its ratings of contests for the House, the Senate and governorships with a combination of grass-roots level reporting, historical research and experience. The editors and reporters examine past election results, demographics and party registration figures to determine which races are likely to be the most competitive.
More information about the race ratings.

Race Ratings Charts: Senate | Governor

Get in-depth information on the races by clicking the state; click the incumbent's name for his or her lawmaker profile.

*Open seat

Tossup
Likely Democratic
Likely Republican

Leans Democratic
Leans Republican
Safe Democratic
Safe Republican

Tossup (D: 14, R: 0)
Ala. 2 – Bright, D Ark. 1 – Berry, D* Colo. 4 – Markey, D Fla. 8 – Grayson, D	Idaho 1 – Minnick, D Kan. 3 – Moore, D* Md. 1 – Kratovil, D N.M. 2 – Teague, D	Ohio 1 – Driehaus, D Ohio 15 – Kilroy, D Pa. 7 – Sestak, D* Tenn. 8 – Tanner, D*	Va. 5 – Perriello, D Wash. 3 – Baird, D*

Leans Democratic (D: 20, R: 2)
Ariz. 5 – Mitchell, D Del. AL – Castle, R* Fla. 24 – Kosmas, D Hawaii 1 – Abercrombie, D* Ill. 10 – Kirk, R* Ill. 14 – Foster, D Mich. 7 – Schauer, D Miss. 1 – Childers, D N.C. 8 – Kissell, D N.H. 1 – Shea-Porter, D N.H. 2 – Hodes, D*	N.J. 3 – Adler, D Nev. 3 – Titus, D N.Y. 19 – Hall, D N.Y. 20 – Murphy, D N.Y. 23 – Owens, D N.Y. 24 – Arcuri, D N.Y. 29 – Massa, D Ohio 18 – Space, D Pa. 11 – Kanjorski, D Va. 2 – Nye, D Wis. 8 – Kagen, D

Leans Republican (D: 3, R: 8)
Alaska AL – Young, R Ark. 2 – Snyder, D* Calif. 3 – Lungren, R Calif. 44 – Calvert, R La. 3 – Melancon, D* Minn. 6 – Bachmann, R	Neb. 2 – Terry, R Pa. 6 – Gerlach, R Pa. 15 – Dent, R Tenn. 6 – Gordon, D* Wash. 8 – Reichert, R

Likely Democratic (D: 38, R: 1)
Ariz. 1 – Kirkpatrick, D Ariz. 8 – Giffords, D Calif. 11 – McNerney, D Calif. 47 – Sanchez, D Conn. 4 – Himes, D Conn. 5 – Murphy, D Ga. 8 – Marshall, D Ga. 12 – Barrow, D Iowa 3 – Boswell, D Ill. 8 – Bean, D Ill. 11 – Halvorson, D Ind. 9 – Hill, D La. 2 – Cao, R Mich. 9 – Peters, D Minn. 1 – Walz, D Mo. 4 – Skelton, D N.C. 11 – Shuler, D N.D. AL – Pomeroy, D N.M. 1 – Heinrich, D N.Y. 1 – Bishop, D	N.Y. 13 – McMahon, D N.Y. 25 – Maffei, D Ohio 16 – Boccieri, D Ore. 4 – DeFazio, D Ore. 5 – Schrader, D Pa. 3 – Dahlkemper, D Pa. 4 – Altmire, D Pa. 8 – Murphy, D Pa. 10 – Carney, D Pa. 12 – Murtha, D Pa. 17 – Holden, D S.C. 5 – Spratt, D S.D. AL – Herseth Sandlin, D Tenn. 4 – Davis, D Texas 17 – Edwards, D Texas 23 – Rodriguez, D Va. 11 – Connolly, D Wis. 3 – Kind, D W.Va. 1 – Mollohan, D

Likely Republican (D: 0, R: 16)
Ala. 3 – Rogers, R Ala. 5 – Griffith, R Ariz. 3 – Shadegg, R* Calif. 45 – Bono Mack, R Fla. 10 – Young, R Fla. 12 – Putnam, R* Fla. 16 – Rooney, R Ill. 13 – Biggert, R	Kan. 4 – Tiahrt, R* Mich. 11 – McCotter, R Minn. 3 – Paulsen, R N.J. 7 – Lance, R Ohio 2 – Schmidt, R Ohio 12 – Tiberi, R S.C. 1 – Brown, R* S.C. 2 – Wilson, R

Safe Democratic (D: 181, R: 0, 1 Vacancy)
Ala. 7 – Davis, D* Ark. 4 – Ross, D Ariz. 4 – Pastor, D Ariz. 7 – Grijalva, D Calif. 1 – Thompson, D Calif. 5 – Matsui, D Calif. 6 – Woolsey, D Calif. 7 – Miller, D Calif. 8 – Pelosi, D Calif. 9 – Lee, D Calif. 10 – Garamendi, D Calif. 12 – Speier, D Calif. 13 – Stark, D Calif. 14 – Eshoo, D Calif. 15 – Honda, D Calif. 16 – Lofgren, D Calif. 17 – Farr, D Calif. 18 – Cardoza, D Calif. 20 – Costa, D Calif. 23 – Capps, D Calif. 27 – Sherman, D Calif. 28 – Berman, D Calif. 29 – Schiff, D Calif. 30 – Waxman, D Calif. 31 – Becerra, D Calif. 32 – Chu, D Calif. 33 – Watson, D Calif. 34 – Roybal-Allard, D Calif. 35 – Waters, D Calif. 36 – Harman, D Calif. 37 – Richardson, D Calif. 38 – Napolitano, D Calif. 39 – Sanchez, D Calif. 43 – Baca, D Calif. 51 – Filner, D Calif. 53 – Davis, D Colo. 1 – DeGette, D Colo. 2 – Polis, D Colo. 3 – Salazar, D Colo. 7 – Perlmutter, D Conn. 1 – Larson, D Conn. 2 – Courtney, D Conn. 3 – DeLauro, D Fla. 2 – Boyd, D Fla. 3 – Brown, D Fla. 11 – Castor, D Fla. 17 – Meek, D* Fla. 19 – VACANCY Fla. 20 – Wasserman Schultz, D Fla. 22 – Klein, D Fla. 23 – Hastings, D Ga. 2 – Bishop, D Ga. 4 – Johnson, D Ga. 5 – Lewis, D Ga. 13 – Scott, D Hawaii 2 – Hirono, D Iowa 1 – Braley, D Iowa 2 – Loebsack, D Ill. 1 – Rush, D Ill. 2 – Jackson, D Ill. 3 – Lipinski, D Ill. 4 – Gutierrez, D Ill. 5 – Quigley, D Ill. 7 – Davis, D Ill. 9 – Schakowsky, D Ill. 12 – Costello, D Ill. 17 – Hare, D Ind. 1 – Visclosky, D Ind. 2 – Donnelly, D Ind. 7 – Carson, D Ind. 8 – Ellsworth, D Ky. 3 – Yarmuth, D Ky. 6 – Chandler, D Mass. 1 – Olver, D Mass. 2 – Neal, D Mass. 3 – McGovern, D Mass. 4 – Frank, D Mass. 5 – Tsongas, D Mass. 6 – Tierney, D Mass. 7 – Markey, D Mass. 8 – Capuano, D Mass. 9 – Lynch, D Mass. 10 – Delahunt, D Md. 2 – Ruppersberger, D Md. 3 – Sarbanes, D Md. 4 – Edwards, D Md. 5 – Hoyer, D Md. 7 – Cummings, D Md. 8 – Van Hollen, D Maine 1 – Pingree, D Maine 2 – Michaud, D	Mich. 1 – Stupak, D Mich. 5 – Kildee, D Mich. 12 – Levin, D Mich. 13 – Kilpatrick, D Mich. 14 – Conyers, D Mich. 15 – Dingell, D Minn. 4 – McCollum, D Minn. 5 – Ellison, D Minn. 7 – Peterson, D Minn. 8 – Oberstar, D Mo. 1 – Clay, D Mo. 3 – Carnahan, D Mo. 5 – Cleaver, D Miss. 2 – Thompson, D Miss. 4 – Taylor, D N.C. 1 – Butterfield, D N.C. 2 – Etheridge, D N.C. 4 – Price, D N.C. 7 – McIntyre, D N.C. 12 – Watt, D N.C. 13 – Miller, D N.J. 1 – Andrews, D N.J. 6 – Pallone, D N.J. 8 – Pascrell, D N.J. 9 – Rothman, D N.J. 10 – Payne, D N.J. 12 – Holt, D N.J. 13 – Sires, D N.M. 3 – Lujan, D Nev. 1 – Berkley, D N.Y. 2 – Israel, D N.Y. 4 – McCarthy, D N.Y. 5 – Ackerman, D N.Y. 6 – Meeks, D N.Y. 7 – Crowley, D N.Y. 8 – Nadler, D N.Y. 9 – Weiner, D N.Y. 10 – Towns, D N.Y. 11 – Clarke, D N.Y. 12 – Velazquez, D N.Y. 14 – Maloney, D N.Y. 15 – Rangel, D N.Y. 16 – Serrano, D N.Y. 17 – Engel, D N.Y. 18 – Lowey, D N.Y. 21 – Tonko, D N.Y. 22 – Hinchey, D N.Y. 27 – Higgins, D N.Y. 28 – Slaughter, D Ohio 6 – Wilson, D Ohio 9 – Kaptur, D Ohio 10 – Kucinich, D Ohio 11 – Fudge, D Ohio 13 – Sutton, D Ohio 17 – Ryan, D Okla. 2 – Boren, D Ore. 1 – Wu, D Ore. 3 – Blumenauer, D Pa. 1 – Brady, D Pa. 2 – Fattah, D Pa. 13 – Schwartz, D Pa. 14 – Doyle, D R.I. 1 – Kennedy, D R.I. 2 – Langevin, D S.C. 6 – Clyburn, D Tenn. 5 – Cooper, D Tenn. 9 – Cohen, D Texas 9 – Green, D Texas 15 – Hinojosa, D Texas 16 – Reyes, D Texas 18 – Jackson Lee, D Texas 20 – Gonzalez, D Texas 25 – Doggett, D Texas 27 – Ortiz, D Texas 28 – Cuellar, D Texas 29 – Green, D Texas 30 – Johnson, D Utah 2 – Matheson, D Va. 3 – Scott, D Va. 8 – Moran, D Va. 9 – Boucher, D Vt. AL – Welch, D Wash. 1 – Inslee, D Wash. 2 – Larsen, D Wash. 6 – Dicks, D Wash. 7 – McDermott, D Wash. 9 – Smith, D Wis. 2 – Baldwin, D Wis. 4 – Moore, D Wis. 7 – Obey, D W.Va. 3 – Rahall, D

Safe Republican (D: 0, R: 151)
Ala. 1 – Bonner, R Ala. 4 – Aderholt, R Ala. 6 – Bachus, R Ark. 3 – Boozman, R Ariz. 2 – Franks, R Ariz. 6 – Flake, R Calif. 2 – Herger, R Calif. 4 – McClintock, R Calif. 19 – Radanovich, R* Calif. 21 – Nunes, R Calif. 22 – McCarthy, R Calif. 24 – Gallegly, R Calif. 25 – McKeon, R Calif. 26 – Dreier, R Calif. 40 – Royce, R Calif. 41 – Lewis, R Calif. 42 – Miller, R Calif. 46 – Rohrabacher, R Calif. 48 – Campbell, R Calif. 49 – Issa, R Calif. 50 – Bilbray, R Calif. 52 – Hunter, R Colo. 5 – Lamborn, R Colo. 6 – Coffman, R Fla. 1 – Miller, R Fla. 4 – Crenshaw, R Fla. 5 – Brown-Waite, R Fla. 6 – Stearns, R Fla. 7 – Mica, R Fla. 9 – Bilirakis, R Fla. 13 – Buchanan, R Fla. 14 – Mack, R Fla. 15 – Posey, R Fla. 18 – Ros-Lehtinen, R Fla. 21 – Diaz-Balart, R Fla. 25 – Diaz-Balart, R Ga. 1 – Kingston, R Ga. 3 – Westmoreland, R Ga. 6 – Price, R Ga. 7 – Linder, R Ga. 9 – Deal, R* Ga. 10 – Broun, R Ga. 11 – Gingrey, R Iowa 4 – Latham, R Iowa 5 – King, R Idaho 2 – Simpson, R Ill. 6 – Roskam, R Ill. 15 – Johnson, R Ill. 16 – Manzullo, R Ill. 18 – Schock, R Ill. 19 – Shimkus, R Ind. 3 – Souder, R Ind. 4 – Buyer, R* Ind. 5 – Burton, R Ind. 6 – Pence, R Kan. 1 – Moran, R* Kan. 2 – Jenkins, R Ky. 1 – Whitfield, R Ky. 2 – Guthrie, R Ky. 4 – Davis, R Ky. 5 – Rogers, R La. 1 – Scalise, R La. 4 – Fleming, R La. 5 – Alexander, R La. 6 – Cassidy, R La. 7 – Boustany, R Md. 6 – Bartlett, R Mich. 2 – Hoekstra, R* Mich. 3 – Ehlers, R Mich. 4 – Camp, R Mich. 6 – Upton, R Mich. 8 – Rogers, R Mich. 10 – Miller, R Minn. 2 – Kline, R Mo. 2 – Akin, R Mo. 6 – Graves, R	Mo. 7 – Blunt, R* Mo. 8 – Emerson, R Mo. 9 – Luetkemeyer, R Miss. 3 – Harper, R Mont. AL – Rehberg, R N.C. 3 – Jones, R N.C. 5 – Foxx, R N.C. 6 – Coble, R N.C. 9 – Myrick, R N.C. 10 – McHenry, R Neb. 1 – Fortenberry, R Neb. 3 – Smith, R N.J. 2 – LoBiondo, R N.J. 4 – Smith, R N.J. 5 – Garrett, R N.J. 11 – Frelinghuysen, R Nev. 2 – Heller, R N.Y. 3 – King, R N.Y. 26 – Lee, R Ohio 3 – Turner, R Ohio 4 – Jordan, R Ohio 5 – Latta, R Ohio 7 – Austria, R Ohio 8 – Boehner, R Ohio 14 – LaTourette, R Okla. 1 – Sullivan, R Okla. 3 – Lucas, R Okla. 4 – Cole, R Okla. 5 – Fallin, R* Ore. 2 – Walden, R Pa. 5 – Thompson, R Pa. 9 – Shuster, R Pa. 16 – Pitts, R Pa. 18 – Murphy, R Pa. 19 – Platts, R S.C. 3 – Barrett, R* S.C. 4 – Inglis, R Tenn. 1 – Roe, R Tenn. 2 – Duncan, R Tenn. 3 – Wamp, R* Tenn. 7 – Blackburn, R Texas 1 – Gohmert, R Texas 2 – Poe, R Texas 3 – Johnson, R Texas 4 – Hall, R Texas 5 – Hensarling, R Texas 6 – Barton, R Texas 7 – Culberson, R Texas 8 – Brady, R Texas 10 – McCaul, R Texas 11 – Conaway, R Texas 12 – Granger, R Texas 13 – Thornberry, R Texas 14 – Paul, R Texas 19 – Neugebauer, R Texas 21 – Smith, R Texas 22 – Olson, R Texas 24 – Marchant, R Texas 26 – Burgess, R Texas 31 – Carter, R Texas 32 – Sessions, R Utah 1 – Bishop, R Utah 3 – Chaffetz, R Va. 1 – Wittman, R Va. 4 – Forbes, R Va. 6 – Goodlatte, R Va. 7 – Cantor, R Va. 10 – Wolf, R Wash. 4 – Hastings, R Wash. 5 – McMorris Rodgers, R Wis. 1 – Ryan, R Wis. 5 – Sensenbrenner, R Wis. 6 – Petri, R W.Va. 2 – Capito, R Wyo. AL – Lummis, R

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