CQ TODAY ONLINE NEWS
May 8, 2008 – 11:48 p.m.
GOP Finds Candidate — Again — for Upstate NY Seat
By Marie Horrigan, CQ Staff
Faced with a possible turnover, Republicans have a new consensus candidate for the seat of retiring Republican Rep. James T. Walsh . Dale Sweetland will face Democrat Dan Maffei, who is running again after holding Walsh to the lowest take of his 10-term House career in 2006.
CQ Politics rates the race No Clear Favorite, the most competitive category.
Former Onondaga County Legislature Chairman Sweetland emerged as the party’s top candidate of weeks of negotiations between the district’s four county committees. There was a lot of interest in the race and Republicans had settled on former state fair director Peter Cappuccilli in mid-March but he dropped out less that two weeks later citing health concerns.
Several candidates were again vying for the seat in the aftermath of Cappuccilli’s withdrawal and the leaders of the four county Republican committees — Onondaga, Walsh, Cayuga and Monroe counties — negotiated to find a candidate.
On May 1, Sweetland prevailed at the Onondaga County Republican Party’s nominating convention with 94 percent of the vote over four other candidates, including state Rep. Bob Oaks.
Oaks was a potential spoiler for Sweetland. He is deputy minority leader of the state Assembly and had strong support in Wayne County, which he represents. But on Monday Oaks announced he was dropping his bid and throwing his support behind Sweetland.
“Now is the time to unify around one candidate and make sure Dale wins this race,” he said in a written statement. Walsh joined Oaks on Monday in endorsing Sweetland. “I am confident he will represent our party well and keep this district in good hands,” he said at the press conference in downtown Syracuse.
One potential problem for Sweetland, considering his late entry, is fundraising. Maffei barely broke between his campaign in 2006 and his run for 2008. As of March 31, Maffei already had raised $854,000, nearly 90 percent of his total in 2006. During that election cycle Maffei and Walsh jointly spent $2.7 million on the race.
Sweetland enters the race at with no money, but said he expects to catch up on fundraising. “I’ve been encouraged ever since last Thursday night when the Onondaga County Committee voted because the response has been so good,” he said.
Sweetland is broadly defining the voters’ interests in the Syracuse-based district. He named foreign policy and domestic issues including the economy, health care, education and taxes as top issues. He said he believes U.S. troops should remain in Iraq until military experts decided the work was done.
“The war in Iraq is a front in the war on terrorism, and I would love to have that be over and end tomorrow but I do believe that the military experts will provide information and tell us when the job is done,” he said.
Sweetland said that he thought developing a comprehensive energy policy was a key step in addressing jobs and the economy and that he was a proponent of alternative energy. “Technology needs to be encouraged but as the same time we need to look at the short-term as well as the long-term goals of energy policy to try to compete in the world market for oil, try to keep our prices down and make sure we can reduce our dependence on foreign oil,” he said.
Republicans argue Sweetland is well situated to run against Maffei. The Sweetland campaign released a poll Monday that indicated he was virtually tied with Maffei, 36.5 percent to 36.2 percent for Sweetland. Twenty-seven percent were undecided.
GOP Finds Candidate — Again — for Upstate NY Seat
“Given the fact that he is performing so poorly and this is his second run after his failed bid for the House in 2006, could this mean that Dan Maffei is a one-trick pony?” quipped Ken Spain, a spokesman for the National Republican Campaign Committee.
Democrats, however, questioned the veracity of the survey.
“I don’t really have very much faith in this poll,” said Carrie James, a spokeswoman for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. She pointed out it was conducted by the same pollster that predicted Walsh would win the race with a 13 percentage point lead in 2006. Maffei held Walsh to 50.8 percent of the vote and a lead of fewer than 3,5000 votes in that contest.
James described the 25th District as a top pick-up opportunity for Democrats this election cycle. Republicans “went through nearly half a dozen Republican candidates to come up with a status quo politician,” she said.
Maffei spokesman Mike Whyland said the campaign was not focused on Republicans. “This campaign has never been focused on who the opponent is. It’s more about what the issues are in the district and focusing on bringing jobs to the district and making sure that young people stay here and create the kind of economy that we need,” he said.
Maffei, a former congressional staffer, calls for a withdrawal of troops from Iraq and says he would “stop tax breaks that reward companies for moving jobs overseas.”
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has Maffei on “Red to Blue” program in which the national party helps highly competitive Democrats running for Republican-held seats.




Comments
This seat is toast.....the NRCC has no clue of what to do ...they can't even hold an Rep LA District and will probably lose the 1st in Miss .... Good-by to NY 25th District
the Dem isnt much of a shoe in with those numbers No Clear Favorite seems right to me How about the line that the Dem is a former congressional staffer, no job title now, no elected position thats his claim to fame working in Congress id be careful if i was him thats not a popular place right now and nobody will elect a hack staffer
Do you notice the "former" in front of the Republican candidates job title too. Maffei's claim to fame is far better than this guys, and that poll seems completely bogus, twenty eight percent of the electorate undecided? That in Democratic leaning, moderate New England district where Bush is wildly unpopular, with ratings as low 18%, 36 percent of electorate automatically backs a Republican most of them have not even heard of, while Maffei, who got 49% of the vote against a popular ten term incumbent last time, and who has been campaigning for almost two years now, and who is a lot better known than the Republican candidate, barely musters any more than 36%? No, this poll flies in the face of several legimate polls, and this is obviously a Partisan Push Poll designed solely to make their candidate look better, despite the fact he has a 900,000 dollar cash deficit and a six month late start over a formidible Democratic candidate, in an open Demoratic leaning district, in a year that looks to be fairly good for Democrats. Those statements are ridiculous, and out of line. Maffei wasn't a "hack" staffer, I don't know where you pull that out. He probably held some job, but for the past two years he's kinda been campaigning full time. Last cycle several staffers won seats, including Phil Hare in IL-18, I believe.
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