CQ TODAY ONLINE NEWS
July 29, 2008 – 1:58 a.m.
CQ Politics’ Top 10: Democrats Dominate Best-Funded Challengers
By Greg Giroux, CQ Staff
One reason why Democrats are expected to make gains in the U.S. House in the November elections is they are fielding a number of well-financed challengers to Republican incumbents.
Democrats comprise nine of the 10 most cash-rich challengers to incumbents of the opposite party, according to a CQ Politics analysis of campaign finance reports that were recently filed with the Federal Election Commission. The large cash-on-hand totals posted by these Democrats are one sign party officials are hopeful of a number of seat takeovers in November.
The challenger candidate with the most cash-on-hand is Connecticut Democrat Jim Himes, a former investment banker who has $1.4 million on hand as July began to oppose Republican Rep. Christopher Shays . Himes is followed by Sandy Treadwell, a former New York Republican chairman who has $1.3 million in his account to challenge Democratic Rep. Kirsten Gillibrand .
Treadwell is the only Republican on this Top 10 list. If the list of opposite-party challengers with the most cash-on-hand is extended to 20 House candidates from 10, the partisan ratio becomes less lopsided, with 13 Democrats and 7 Republicans.
In some cases the Democratic challenger has even more cash-on-hand than the Republican incumbent. Darcy Burner, a Democrat from Washington state, reported having more to spend than Republican Rep. Dave Reichert , who narrowly beat Burner in 2006.
Some of these Democratic challengers may also benefit from added assistance from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, the campaign arm of House Democrats that has tens of millions of dollars more than its partisan counterpart, the National Republican Congressional Committee, to spend on television ads and other campaign communications.
The list below shows those opposite-party challengers who had the most remaining campaign cash on hand. In most cases, the figures are current to June 30, the end of this year’s second quarter. Candidates in Oklahoma, Missouri, Michigan and Kansas, where there are primary elections in the next seven days, were exempt from filing a second-quarter report. Candidates in those states instead filed “pre-primary” reports that detailed campaign finance activity through July 16.
1. Jim Himes, Democrat, Connecticut’s 4th ($1.4 million). Himes is challenging 10-term Rep. Shays in a district that includes Bridgeport, Stamford and other southwestern Connecticut communities near New York City. Long the preferred candidate of Democratic officials in Washington and Connecticut, Himes faces a Aug. 12 primary with little-known Democrat Lee Whitnum that Himes should win easily and that shouldn’t require him to draw down his treasury too much. Shays has $1.7 million left in his campaign account. CQ Politics Race Rating: No Clear Favorite.
2. Sandy Treadwell, Republican, New York’s 20th ($1.3 million). Treadwell, a former New York Secretary of State, is the leading Republican candidate against first-term Rep. Gillibrand, whose district along the eastern border of New York stretches from Lake Placid in the north to near Poughkeepsie in the south. Both Treadwell and Gillibrand have been among their respective party’s best-funded candidates throughout the two-year campaign cycle. Gillibrand, who has $2.8 million left to spend, is unopposed in the Sept. 9 primary election, while Treadwell is favored against two lesser-known Republicans. CQ Politics Race Rating: Leans Democratic.
3. Darcy Burner, Democrat, Washington’s 8th ($1.2 million). Burner, who was formerly employed by Microsoft, is taking on two-term Rep. Reichert ($916,000) in a suburban Seattle district in which she came within three percentage points of unseating the congressman in 2006. Burner’s challenge is one reason why Reichert is among the most vulnerable Republican incumbents; so too is the likelihood that his district will back Barack Obama over John McCain for president. CQ Politics Race Rating: No Clear Favorite.
4. Dan Seals, Democrat, Illinois’ 10th ($1.18 million). Seals, a business consultant, is waging a rematch campaign against four-term Republican Rep. Mark Steven Kirk , who won by a margin of 53 percent to 47 percent that was closer than in his previous two re-election campaigns. Seals’ respectable showing spurred him to try again — and begin his rematch campaign at an earlier point in the campaign cycle. That helps explain why Seals is among the best-funded challenger candidates. But Kirk has been ramping up his fundraising, tallying $3.8 million in receipts since the beginning of 2007 and posting $2.9 million cash-on-hand as July began. The latter figure is the second-highest among House Republicans. CQ Politics Race Rating: Leans Republican.
5. Gary Peters, Democrat, Michigan’s 9th ($1.1 million). Peters, a former state senator, is taking on eight-term Republican Rep. Joe Knollenberg ($1.9 million) in a district that takes in eastern Oakland County suburbs near Detroit, like Farmington Hills, Troy and Rochester Hills. Peters is substantially better-funded than 2006 nominee Nancy Skinner, who raised and spent a little more than $400,000 in taking 46 percent of the vote against Knollenberg. Peters and Knollenberg, whose cash-on-hand totals are current as of July 16, are unopposed in the Aug. 5 primary. CQ Politics Race Rating: Leans Republican.
6. Raul Martinez, Democrat, Florida’s 21st ($1.08 million). Martinez is a former mayor of Hialeah, a south Florida city of 226,000 residents, most of whom live in the 21st. The Republican incumbent is Lincoln Diaz-Balart ($1.8 million), who has run without Democratic opposition in six of his eight elections. One of the exceptions was in 2006, when Diaz-Balart took 59.5 percent of the vote against a little-known Democrat. CQ Politics Race Rating: Leans Republican.
CQ Politics’ Top 10: Democrats Dominate Best-Funded Challengers
7. Michael Skelly, Democrat, Texas’ 7th ($1.05 million). Skelly, a wind energy executive, is taking on four-term Republican Rep. John Culberson in a district that takes in western Houston and some suburbs. Culberson won by more than 20 percentage points in 2006, but Skelly’s strong fundraising prompted CQ Politics recently to reclassify the Texas 7 race as “Republican Favored,” a more competitive category than the “Safe Republican” category that had previously applied to the race. To get an idea of how seriously Culberson is treating the race, consider that he raised $394,000 in this year’s second quarter and began July with $550,000 left to spend — compared to $99,000 he raised in the second quarter of 2006 and $156,000 he had on hand at this point two years ago. CQ Politics Race Rating: Republican Favored.
8. Kay Barnes, Democrat, Missouri’s 6th ($962,000). Barnes last year ended an eight-year tenure as mayor of Kansas City and segued to a campaign for Congress in a district that takes in part of that city and its suburbs and also substantial rural territory in northwestern Missouri. The race between Barnes and Republican Rep. Sam Graves ($936,000) promises to be the toughest re-election campaign for the congressman, who has taken more than 60 percent of the vote each of his three re-election campaigns. Their fundraising figures are current to July 16. CQ Politics Race Rating: Leans Republican.
9. Suzanne Kosmas, Democrat, Florida’s 24th ($936,000). Kosmas, a former state representative, is taking on three-term Republican Rep. Tom Feeney ($795,000) in a district that takes in some suburbs of Orlando and part of Florida’s “Space Coast.” Feeney is unopposed in the August 26 primary election, while Kosmas is favored against Clint Curtis, who took 42 percent of the vote as Feeney’s 2006 Democratic opponent. CQ Politics Race Rating: Leans Republican.
10. Mark Schauer, Democrat, Michigan’s 7th ($929,000). Schauer, a state senator, is opposing Republican Rep. Tim Walberg ($855,000), who was narrowly elected in 2006 to a south-central Michigan district that takes in Battle Creek and Jackson. Neither candidate is opposed in the Aug. 5 primary. CQ Politics Race Rating: Leans Republican.




Comments
Are you for real? Tom Feeney is not unopposed in the August Primary. Jason Davis is running against Feeney. He is a republican from I think Port Orange in District 24, Florida. Clint Curtis will beat the party hack Kosmas. We here in District 24 are tired of the no show hack and the money B.S. talk. We struggle for mere survival and she brags about all her money. She is special interest paid for. She has also gotten money from the republican special interest groups that are also giving to Feeney. Feeney is the poster child for corruption that is true. However I would rather vote as a Democrat for the poster child than the party hack. Clint Curtis will get my vote. Not Kosmas!!!
Schauer is helped by the fact that he has a base in Battle Creek, a moderate town about evenly divided between parties, and he's represented about 20% of the district before in the State Senator and has very high name from his tenure as minority leader.
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