CQ TODAY PRINT EDITION
Sept. 29, 2008 – 9:15 p.m.
Bailout’s Next Phase: Wait and See
By Joseph J. Schatz and Benton Ives, CQ Staff
After the spectacular failure Monday of a delicately negotiated compromise to bail out the financial sector, the response in the markets in coming days may determine the next move for a Congress gripped by uncertainty.
The precipitous stock market drop after the House defeat of a $700 billion plan to take troubled assets off the books of financial institutions was an eye-catching event for most lawmakers, including those who railed against the legislation (
“Clearly there is no doubt that there is a crisis on Wall Street. Now that crisis is . . . going to Main Street. You can look at what is happening on the Dow,” said Rep. Jeb Hensarling , R-Texas, chairman of the Republican Study Committee (RSC), an influential bloc that opposed the bill. “But Congress shouldn’t act on a piece of legislation . . . based upon what the Dow did in one day.”
So far, congressional leaders have no clear way forward as they head back to the drawing board.
“We are ready to continue to work on this,” said House Financial Services Chairman Barney Frank , D-Mass., a key architect of the legislation. “As a practical matter, the initiative will probably come from the administration.”
Chris Van Hollen of Maryland, chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, said that party leaders were considering trying to build momentum for the package by letting the Senate, where bipartisan support for the plan is stronger, vote on its first. “That could change the dynamic,” he said.
But Senate Banking Chairman Christopher J. Dodd , D-Conn., who helped put together the plan, ruled that out. “I think our job in the Senate now is to let the House resolve its difficulties and then let us know what the resolution is and whether or not we can live with it,” he said.
Negotiators could tweak the existing proposal, in hopes of winning more Republican votes. “Well, there are issues out there that are appealing to Republicans,” GOP Conference Chairman Adam H. Putnam , R-Fla., said after the vote. “Doubling FDIC insurance, things like [accounting] changes, I think, are appealing to Republicans without being revolting to Democrats.”
The RSC, a group of fiscally conservative, often business-friendly House Republicans, wants the core of the bill to create a government insurance plan for shaky assets, with premiums paid by financial institutions — one of several options for the Treasury Secretary in the current bill. They also proposed new Securities and Exchange Commission regulations prohibiting “mark to market” accounting, which requires companies to value assets based on their current potential sale price.
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“House conservatives have concerns. Having said that we know we’re in the minority, we want to negotiate in good faith,” Hensarling said. “We come here today willing to swallow hard, but we can’t swallow everything.”
However Congress proceeds, strong signals from the market likely will dictate their behavior. Putnam said members watched the plummeting market numbers on a TV in the cloakroom before and during the vote. “We’re encouraging members to understand the consequences of doing nothing,” he said.
Shortly after 2 p.m. Monday, the House voted, 205-228, to defeat the bailout package despite the endorsement of both parties’ leaders and heavy lobbying from the White House. The Dow Jones industrial average plunged and closed down nearly 780 points, its largest one-day fall ever. Concerns about a worsening credit situation, which could impact millions of American businesses and households, grew.
Bailout’s Next Phase: Wait and See
“I think we have to see . . . what the economic reaction is,” Frank said. “I would like nothing better than to be proven wrong in the next couple of days.”
“We’re going to stay here until we get this job done,” said Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell , R-Ky. “The reaction from the market today makes it clear that simply taking no action at all is not acceptable.”
White House Involvement
The plan House GOP lawmakers scuttled was forged over a week of tense negotiations between House and Senate leaders and the White House. It included several conditions demanded by Republican and Democratic lawmakers, including curbs on executive compensation at participating firms, a staggering of the funding to purchase the assets and provisions aimed at staving off home foreclosures.
Senior Democrats said they were looking to the Bush administration to put forward a new proposal, hopefully one that could win more votes among House GOP members.
“I still believe it’s important to the country to come up with a piece of legislation that will alleviate this credit crisis,” Frank said after the vote. “But we do ask that there be some better coordination between the administration and the Republican side” in order to get a bill passed.
“I’m going to be talking to my economic advisers . . . and working with leaders of Congress on a way forward,” President Bush said. “Our strategy is to continue addressing this economic situation head-on.”
House Democratic leaders had long insisted that a majority of both parties would be required to pass the bill. In the end, 140 Democrats voted for the package, along with 65 Republicans. Ninety-five Democrats voted “no,” as did 133 Republicans. One Republican, Jerry Weller of Illinois, did not vote.
The rejection of the bill was a stunning defeat for the White House and congressional leaders from both parties. Republicans blamed what they called a sharply partisan speech by Speaker Nancy Pelosi , D-Calif., but Democrats called those claims mere cover for a GOP leadership failure.
Just a week or so ago, leaders were hoping to move legislation by wide margins in both chambers as a way to further assure the market of Washington’s commitment to help. After Monday’s vote, it appears they will struggle to come up with something that can squeak by in the House. Some Republicans have indicated they oppose on principle any efforts to broaden government intervention in the private sector.
“We’ve turned down King Henry Paulson because the American people know there are alternatives,” Rep. Virginia Foxx , R-N.C., said after the bill went down. “The market may be down but the Constitution is up.”
“There is a wing of the Republican Party — and several of them said this publicly — who believe very deeply in this free-market ideology, and some of them said explicitly, ‘Yes, we understand that there will be economic pain, but we think that is worth preserving freedom,’ ” Frank said. “And as they see it, freedom would be somehow impinged by this government intervention. I disagree, but I understand it.”
David Clarke, Alan K. Ota and Catharine Richert contributed to this story.




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