CQ TODAY ONLINE NEWS
Nov. 7, 2008 – 5:50 p.m.
Some House and Senate Seats May Take Weeks to Resolve
There are three races in the Senate and five in the House that are too close to call. Recounts and legal challenges could keep several of them up in the air well into December. In addition, under Louisiana’s unique electoral system, two congressional seats won’t be filled until another round of balloting in four weeks.
Senate
• Minnesota: With 100 percent of the vote counted, first-term Republican Sen. Norm Coleman holds a 238-vote lead, out of 2.9 million cast, over Democrat Al Franken, a well-known comedian and writer. The razor-thin margin has triggered an automatic recount but under state election law that process cannot begin until the state canvassing board meets Nov. 18. The recount would then take between one and two weeks to complete — and depending on the outcome, further legal challenges after that cannot be ruled out.
• Georgia: Here, it’s not about incumbent Republican Saxby Chambliss ’ edge over Democratic former state Rep. Jim Martin, which is more than 3 points. Georgia law requires that a candidate receive a majority of votes on Election Day in order to be declared the outright winner and avoid a runoff. The current count, according to the Associated Press, with 99 percent of precincts reporting, shows Chambliss falling just short with 49.8 percent of the vote to 46.8 percent for Martin. Martin has already begun campaigning for a runoff, which would be held Dec. 2.
Republicans contend that Chambliss would have the advantage in a runoff, arguing that Democrat Martin, who is white, would have difficulty generating the kind of huge turnout among the black constituency — more than a quarter of the state’s population — that came out in strength for Barack Obama . But the cash-rich Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee has pledged to pour money into Georgia to back Martin if the race goes to a runoff, and Democratic strategists argue that Republican voters may be deflated by their party’s setbacks and are less likely to return to the polls in less than four weeks.
• Alaska: At this point, beleaguered Alaska Republican Sen. Ted Stevens ’ bid for re-election to the seat he has held for 40 years has a good chance of being declared a Republican victory. Despite his conviction a week before Election Day on seven felony charges of lying on his Senate financial disclosure forms, his strong political base at home helped him score 48.08 percent to 46.61 percent for Democrat Mark Begich, the mayor of Anchorage. Stevens leads by about 3,300 votes out of more than 200,000 cast. The campaigns Thursday night informed reporters that over 70,000 absentee, early, provisional, and other ballots remained to be counted. The outcome won’t be known until Nov. 14 at the earliest.
Of course, even a confirmed win by Stevens probably would not be the end of the story. Senate leaders have said they expect Stevens to be expelled. Should his seat end up vacated, a special election would have to be held to replace him.
• Illinois and Delware: Obama will resign the seat he holds in Illinois and Vice President-elect Joseph R. Biden Jr. will do the same in Delaware prior to their inaugurations Jan. 20. Both seats will stay Democratic, as Democratic governors in both states will appoint Obama’s and Biden’s successors — who will serve at least two years.
The Delaware appointment will be on an interim basis: Biden was easily re-elected to the Senate on Tuesday concurrently with his election as vice president, and a special election will be held in Delaware in 2010 to fill the remaining four years of Biden’s unexpired term. Obama’s seat is next up in the regularly scheduled Illinois election of 2010, so no special election will occur there.
House
• California 4: In the race to succeed Republican Rep. John T. Doolittle , Republican state Sen. Tom McClintock continues to open a lead as provisional and absentee ballots are counted in his too-close-to-call race against Democratic former Air Force Lieutenant Colonel Charlie Brown. As of Friday afternoon’s totals, provided by the California Secretary of State’s office, McClintock led by 451 votes in California’s 4th District race.
• Louisiana 2: Nine-term Democratic Rep. William J. Jefferson is awaiting trial on federal corruption charges, but he is still heavily favored to defeat Republican lawyer Joseph Cao in a black-majority, heavily Democratic swath of southeastern Louisiana that includes the bulk of New Orleans. Jefferson took 57 percent of the vote in a Democratic runoff against Helena Moreno, a local television journalist. Since Hurricane Gustav forced a delay in the primaries, the runoff in two districts was pushed to Nov. 4 and Dec. 6 is Election Day for the two Louisiana seats.
• Louisiana 4: In this conservative-leaning swath of northwestern Louisiana, Democrat Paul Carmouche, a longtime district attorney in Shreveport, and Republican physician John Fleming will vie for the seat that Republican Rep. Jim McCrery is giving up after two decades. Carmouche won his party’s runoff with 62 percent of the vote and Fleming won 56 percent in the Republican balloting.
Some House and Senate Seats May Take Weeks to Resolve
• Maryland 1: State Sen. Andy Harris, who defeated longtime Rep. Wayne T. Gilchrest in the Republican primary, trails Democratic county prosecutor Frank M. Kratovil Jr. by 2003 votes as of Friday evening. The state began counting absentee ballots Thursday and it will count provisional ballots Monday. Gilchrest, a moderate Republican, endorsed Kratovil for the seat. The district takes in the Eastern Shore and suburbs above Annapolis.
• Ohio 15. Republican state Sen. Steve Stivers leads Democrat Mary Jo Kilroy, a county commissioner in Columbus, by 321 votes, with thousands of provisional votes to be counted. Kilroy was involved in a prolonged ballot count here two years ago, when she lost by less than 1,100 votes to Republican Rep. Deborah Pryce , who’s retiring this year.
• Virginia 5. Democrat Tom Perriello, who has been involved with international nonprofit organizations and founded faith-based groups, leads Republican Rep. Virgil H. Goode Jr. by 31 votes — a margin of one-one hundredths of a percentage point — as election officials canvass the votes in a sprawling district that reaches from Charlottesville in the north to Danville in the south. A recount seems certain; state law allows an apparently defeated candidate to request one if the leading candidate’s margin of victory is less than one percentage point.
• Washington 8: In suburban Seattle, slow tabulating means that this rematch race between two-term Republican Dave Reichert and Democrat Darcy Burner, a former manager at Microsoft Corp., is unlikely to be called this week. As of Thursday evening, Reichert’s lead had grown to 5,332 out of the more than 241,000 votes counted.
Rachel Kapochunas and Greg Giroux contributed to this story.




Comments
What about Cal 44? Had the DNC put any money into this race, Cong. Calvert would be defeated. At this point, there are way more votes out there than the difference between the two canidates. As those votes have been trending Democratic, this is still very much a cliff-hanger. Something the staunchly Republican Riverside Press-Enterprise headlined this a.m. Stay tuned.
Just thought I'd point out a slight error - the Louisiana seats that remain open (the 2nd and 4th) are not open due to any "uniqueness" of Louisiana's electoral system. Louisiana in fact created a party primary system like much of the rest of the country for Federal (ie House and Senate) races. The delay here was due to Hurricane Gustav evacuations which led to the delay of primary elections and runoffs. In the 2nd and 4th, candidates in one or both party primaries (held early in October) failed to get 50% + 1 as required. Therefore, runoffs were held in those races on November the 4th, and the general election (between a Democrat, a Republican, and any 3rd party candidates) will occur in December. Open "Louisiana style" races are only held now in state and local elections.
Obviously, there was a backlash in the Great White North to the DC juries conviction of Stevens and the savaging of Palin by the Media (aka DNC Propaganda Office). It even spilled over to Don Young, helping him win with a comfortable lead over the Bolshevik Berkowitz. Stevens will be declared the winner shortly because most of the outstanding ballots are from the overseas Military. However, he will not serve long. He will have to resign or be expelled. LG Sean Parnell would be likely to win the special election. Afterall, if the Bolsheviks couldn't defeat a convicted felon---fahgetaboudit
What is happening with the bill from a Senator in Ohio if you are a federal worker and earn social security to eleminate social security windfall provision. Also What is happening to eliminate CSRS-offset in using social security as part of the employees federal pension. Need to know as I am going to retire CSRS-offset in two months.
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